Volatility forecasting with exponential weighting, smooth transition and robust methods
This thesis focuses on the forecasting of the volatility in financial returns. Our first main contribution is the introduction of two new approaches for combining volatility forecasts. One approach involves the use of discounted weighted least square. The second proposed approach is smooth transitio...
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ndltd-bl.uk-oai-ethos.bl.uk-4894212015-03-20T06:30:14ZVolatility forecasting with exponential weighting, smooth transition and robust methodsChoo, Wei-Chong2008This thesis focuses on the forecasting of the volatility in financial returns. Our first main contribution is the introduction of two new approaches for combining volatility forecasts. One approach involves the use of discounted weighted least square. The second proposed approach is smooth transition (ST) combining, which allows the combining weights to change gradually and smoothly over time in response to changes in suitably chosen transition variables.332.632University of Oxfordhttp://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.489421Electronic Thesis or Dissertation |
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332.632 Choo, Wei-Chong Volatility forecasting with exponential weighting, smooth transition and robust methods |
description |
This thesis focuses on the forecasting of the volatility in financial returns. Our first main contribution is the introduction of two new approaches for combining volatility forecasts. One approach involves the use of discounted weighted least square. The second proposed approach is smooth transition (ST) combining, which allows the combining weights to change gradually and smoothly over time in response to changes in suitably chosen transition variables. |
author |
Choo, Wei-Chong |
author_facet |
Choo, Wei-Chong |
author_sort |
Choo, Wei-Chong |
title |
Volatility forecasting with exponential weighting, smooth transition and robust methods |
title_short |
Volatility forecasting with exponential weighting, smooth transition and robust methods |
title_full |
Volatility forecasting with exponential weighting, smooth transition and robust methods |
title_fullStr |
Volatility forecasting with exponential weighting, smooth transition and robust methods |
title_full_unstemmed |
Volatility forecasting with exponential weighting, smooth transition and robust methods |
title_sort |
volatility forecasting with exponential weighting, smooth transition and robust methods |
publisher |
University of Oxford |
publishDate |
2008 |
url |
http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.489421 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT chooweichong volatilityforecastingwithexponentialweightingsmoothtransitionandrobustmethods |
_version_ |
1716797691824963584 |