Volatility forecasting with exponential weighting, smooth transition and robust methods

This thesis focuses on the forecasting of the volatility in financial returns. Our first main contribution is the introduction of two new approaches for combining volatility forecasts. One approach involves the use of discounted weighted least square. The second proposed approach is smooth transitio...

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Main Author: Choo, Wei-Chong
Published: University of Oxford 2008
Subjects:
Online Access:http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.489421
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spelling ndltd-bl.uk-oai-ethos.bl.uk-4894212015-03-20T06:30:14ZVolatility forecasting with exponential weighting, smooth transition and robust methodsChoo, Wei-Chong2008This thesis focuses on the forecasting of the volatility in financial returns. Our first main contribution is the introduction of two new approaches for combining volatility forecasts. One approach involves the use of discounted weighted least square. The second proposed approach is smooth transition (ST) combining, which allows the combining weights to change gradually and smoothly over time in response to changes in suitably chosen transition variables.332.632University of Oxfordhttp://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.489421Electronic Thesis or Dissertation
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sources NDLTD
topic 332.632
spellingShingle 332.632
Choo, Wei-Chong
Volatility forecasting with exponential weighting, smooth transition and robust methods
description This thesis focuses on the forecasting of the volatility in financial returns. Our first main contribution is the introduction of two new approaches for combining volatility forecasts. One approach involves the use of discounted weighted least square. The second proposed approach is smooth transition (ST) combining, which allows the combining weights to change gradually and smoothly over time in response to changes in suitably chosen transition variables.
author Choo, Wei-Chong
author_facet Choo, Wei-Chong
author_sort Choo, Wei-Chong
title Volatility forecasting with exponential weighting, smooth transition and robust methods
title_short Volatility forecasting with exponential weighting, smooth transition and robust methods
title_full Volatility forecasting with exponential weighting, smooth transition and robust methods
title_fullStr Volatility forecasting with exponential weighting, smooth transition and robust methods
title_full_unstemmed Volatility forecasting with exponential weighting, smooth transition and robust methods
title_sort volatility forecasting with exponential weighting, smooth transition and robust methods
publisher University of Oxford
publishDate 2008
url http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.489421
work_keys_str_mv AT chooweichong volatilityforecastingwithexponentialweightingsmoothtransitionandrobustmethods
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