Assessment of the robustness of recent births in estimating infant mortality using multi-country Demographic Health Survey data

Includes bibliographical references. === This dissertation investigates the robustness of recent births in estimating infant mortality rates from the proportion of deaths observed among births reported in a 24month period. The Blacker Brass technique is applied to all births reported in the 24month...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Munjoma, Malvern
Other Authors: Moultrie, Tom
Format: Dissertation
Language:English
Published: University of Cape Town 2015
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/11427/13169
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spelling ndltd-netd.ac.za-oai-union.ndltd.org-uct-oai-localhost-11427-131692020-10-06T05:11:12Z Assessment of the robustness of recent births in estimating infant mortality using multi-country Demographic Health Survey data Munjoma, Malvern Moultrie, Tom Dorrington, Rob Demography Includes bibliographical references. This dissertation investigates the robustness of recent births in estimating infant mortality rates from the proportion of deaths observed among births reported in a 24month period. The Blacker Brass technique is applied to all births reported in the 24month period and to most recent births in the 24 month period. The study uses birth history data from 76 Demographic and Health Surveys conducted in 16 countries across the developing world between 1986 and 2011. All births (and the deaths of those births) occurring in five 2-year periods before each survey were extracted to obtain five estimates of infant mortality using the Blacker-Brass and direct estimation methods from each dataset. This allows trends in infant mortality for the 10-year period before the survey to be compared and relative errors to be calculated. The results showed a decline in infant mortality in most datasets and are consistent with the United Nations and the World Health Organisation 2013 estimates. The relative errors did not indicate any systematic bias of the Blacker-Brass method applied to all births; however, further investigations showed that the method underestimated infant mortality in the period closest to the survey date in most datasets. Furthermore, the relative errors were positively correlated with the directly estimated level of infant mortality. There were, however, no significant differences in the relative errors across countries. 2015-06-29T07:53:47Z 2015-06-29T07:53:47Z 2014 Master Thesis Masters MPhil http://hdl.handle.net/11427/13169 eng application/pdf University of Cape Town Faculty of Commerce Centre for Actuarial Research (CARE)
collection NDLTD
language English
format Dissertation
sources NDLTD
topic Demography
spellingShingle Demography
Munjoma, Malvern
Assessment of the robustness of recent births in estimating infant mortality using multi-country Demographic Health Survey data
description Includes bibliographical references. === This dissertation investigates the robustness of recent births in estimating infant mortality rates from the proportion of deaths observed among births reported in a 24month period. The Blacker Brass technique is applied to all births reported in the 24month period and to most recent births in the 24 month period. The study uses birth history data from 76 Demographic and Health Surveys conducted in 16 countries across the developing world between 1986 and 2011. All births (and the deaths of those births) occurring in five 2-year periods before each survey were extracted to obtain five estimates of infant mortality using the Blacker-Brass and direct estimation methods from each dataset. This allows trends in infant mortality for the 10-year period before the survey to be compared and relative errors to be calculated. The results showed a decline in infant mortality in most datasets and are consistent with the United Nations and the World Health Organisation 2013 estimates. The relative errors did not indicate any systematic bias of the Blacker-Brass method applied to all births; however, further investigations showed that the method underestimated infant mortality in the period closest to the survey date in most datasets. Furthermore, the relative errors were positively correlated with the directly estimated level of infant mortality. There were, however, no significant differences in the relative errors across countries.
author2 Moultrie, Tom
author_facet Moultrie, Tom
Munjoma, Malvern
author Munjoma, Malvern
author_sort Munjoma, Malvern
title Assessment of the robustness of recent births in estimating infant mortality using multi-country Demographic Health Survey data
title_short Assessment of the robustness of recent births in estimating infant mortality using multi-country Demographic Health Survey data
title_full Assessment of the robustness of recent births in estimating infant mortality using multi-country Demographic Health Survey data
title_fullStr Assessment of the robustness of recent births in estimating infant mortality using multi-country Demographic Health Survey data
title_full_unstemmed Assessment of the robustness of recent births in estimating infant mortality using multi-country Demographic Health Survey data
title_sort assessment of the robustness of recent births in estimating infant mortality using multi-country demographic health survey data
publisher University of Cape Town
publishDate 2015
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/13169
work_keys_str_mv AT munjomamalvern assessmentoftherobustnessofrecentbirthsinestimatinginfantmortalityusingmulticountrydemographichealthsurveydata
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