Breaking the ice: potential U.S.-Russian maritime conflict in the Arctic
Outstanding Thesis === Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited === While war in the Arctic appears unlikely at present, this thesis analyzes why an escalation of territorial and resource disputes in the Arctic up to and including the use of force cannot and should not be ruled out. Th...
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Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
2013
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ndltd-nps.edu-oai-calhoun.nps.edu-10945-277802015-05-06T03:58:38Z Breaking the ice: potential U.S.-Russian maritime conflict in the Arctic Aerandir, Mate Wesley Yost, David S. Unrein, L. Tim National Security Affairs Outstanding Thesis Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited While war in the Arctic appears unlikely at present, this thesis analyzes why an escalation of territorial and resource disputes in the Arctic up to and including the use of force cannot and should not be ruled out. This thesis examines the political, economic, and military interests of the main Arctic powers: Canada, Denmark, Norway, Russia, and the United States to set the scene for an assessment of the factors that could make for cooperation or conflict. Advocates of a Pax Arctica involving regional cooperation underrate the more pragmatic and competitive factors underlying international relations and the actual limits of international institutions and economic interdependence in restraining behavior in an anarchic system. The potential for U.S.-Russian maritime conflict in the region is genuine. Based on the methodology established for this analysis, it can be reasonably assessed that conflict in the Arctic is likely. No time horizon can be determined, however, because much depends on decisions made (or not made) by these same Arctic powers in the coming decades. 2013-02-15T23:13:13Z 2013-02-15T23:13:13Z 2012-12 Thesis http://hdl.handle.net/10945/27780 http://hdl.handle.net/10945/27780 This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined
in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. As such, it is in the
public domain, and under the provisions of Title 17, United States
Code, Section 105, is not copyrighted in the U.S. Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School |
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Outstanding Thesis === Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited === While war in the Arctic appears unlikely at present, this thesis analyzes why an escalation of territorial and resource disputes in the Arctic up to and including the use of force cannot and should not be ruled out. This thesis examines the political, economic, and military interests of the main Arctic powers: Canada, Denmark, Norway, Russia, and the United States to set the scene for an assessment of the factors that could make for cooperation or conflict. Advocates of a Pax Arctica involving regional cooperation underrate the more pragmatic and competitive factors underlying international relations and the actual limits of international institutions and economic interdependence in restraining behavior in an anarchic system. The potential for U.S.-Russian maritime conflict in the region is genuine. Based on the methodology established for this analysis, it can be reasonably assessed that conflict in the Arctic is likely. No time horizon can be determined, however, because much depends on decisions made (or not made) by these same Arctic powers in the coming decades. |
author2 |
Yost, David S. |
author_facet |
Yost, David S. Aerandir, Mate Wesley |
author |
Aerandir, Mate Wesley |
spellingShingle |
Aerandir, Mate Wesley Breaking the ice: potential U.S.-Russian maritime conflict in the Arctic |
author_sort |
Aerandir, Mate Wesley |
title |
Breaking the ice: potential U.S.-Russian maritime conflict in the Arctic |
title_short |
Breaking the ice: potential U.S.-Russian maritime conflict in the Arctic |
title_full |
Breaking the ice: potential U.S.-Russian maritime conflict in the Arctic |
title_fullStr |
Breaking the ice: potential U.S.-Russian maritime conflict in the Arctic |
title_full_unstemmed |
Breaking the ice: potential U.S.-Russian maritime conflict in the Arctic |
title_sort |
breaking the ice: potential u.s.-russian maritime conflict in the arctic |
publisher |
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School |
publishDate |
2013 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10945/27780 http://hdl.handle.net/10945/27780 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT aerandirmatewesley breakingtheicepotentialusrussianmaritimeconflictinthearctic |
_version_ |
1716803249713971200 |