Yemen: comparative insurgency and counterinsurgency
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited === Why have Yemen’s counterinsurgency and counterterrorism polices been less effective against the Huthi movement compared to al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP)? This paper finds that the military’s poor counterinsurgency and counterterro...
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Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School
2015
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ndltd-nps.edu-oai-calhoun.nps.edu-10945-452002015-05-08T03:57:07Z Yemen: comparative insurgency and counterinsurgency Johnson, Ryan Baylouny, Anne Marie Johnson, Thomas H. National Security Affairs Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited Why have Yemen’s counterinsurgency and counterterrorism polices been less effective against the Huthi movement compared to al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP)? This paper finds that the military’s poor counterinsurgency and counterterrorism policies, the international effort to combat AQAP, the Huthi’s ability to recruit and mobilize large numbers of followers, and the Huthi leadership’s pragmatic alliances gave the Huthis the advantage over AQAP and the Republic of Yemen. Yemen faces multiple security problems. Foremost, the country faces threats from various groups including the Huthi Movement, AQAP, Hirak, and tribal elements with the Huthis recently capturing Sanaa. The country’s oil supply will soon to run out, which is the main source of government revenue. The country is still in the process of transition required by the Gulf Cooperation Council-negotiated agreement after the Arab Spring. These problems are exacerbated by corruption, social, and economic problems. Finally, state failure remains a real possibility, with the various groups battling for control. In this case, Yemen could become the next Somalia. The worse scenario for the U.S. would for Yemen to become a safe haven for a group intent on attacking U.S. citizens and interests. 2015-05-06T19:17:42Z 2015-05-06T19:17:42Z 2015-03 Thesis http://hdl.handle.net/10945/45200 This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States. Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School |
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Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited === Why have Yemen’s counterinsurgency and counterterrorism polices been less effective against the Huthi movement compared to al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP)? This paper finds that the military’s poor counterinsurgency and counterterrorism policies, the international effort to combat AQAP, the Huthi’s ability to recruit and mobilize large numbers of followers, and the Huthi leadership’s pragmatic alliances gave the Huthis the advantage over AQAP and the Republic of Yemen. Yemen faces multiple security problems. Foremost, the country faces threats from various groups including the Huthi Movement, AQAP, Hirak, and tribal elements with the Huthis recently capturing Sanaa. The country’s oil supply will soon to run out, which is the main source of government revenue. The country is still in the process of transition required by the Gulf Cooperation Council-negotiated agreement after the Arab Spring. These problems are exacerbated by corruption, social, and economic problems. Finally, state failure remains a real possibility, with the various groups battling for control. In this case, Yemen could become the next Somalia. The worse scenario for the U.S. would for Yemen to become a safe haven for a group intent on attacking U.S. citizens and interests. |
author2 |
Baylouny, Anne Marie |
author_facet |
Baylouny, Anne Marie Johnson, Ryan |
author |
Johnson, Ryan |
spellingShingle |
Johnson, Ryan Yemen: comparative insurgency and counterinsurgency |
author_sort |
Johnson, Ryan |
title |
Yemen: comparative insurgency and counterinsurgency |
title_short |
Yemen: comparative insurgency and counterinsurgency |
title_full |
Yemen: comparative insurgency and counterinsurgency |
title_fullStr |
Yemen: comparative insurgency and counterinsurgency |
title_full_unstemmed |
Yemen: comparative insurgency and counterinsurgency |
title_sort |
yemen: comparative insurgency and counterinsurgency |
publisher |
Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School |
publishDate |
2015 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10945/45200 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT johnsonryan yemencomparativeinsurgencyandcounterinsurgency |
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1716803414175776768 |