Amalgamating evidence of dynamics

Many approaches to evidence amalgamation focus on relatively static information or evidence: the data to be amalgamated involve different variables, contexts, or experiments, but not measurements over extended periods of time. However, much of scientific inquiry focuses on dynamical systems; the sys...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Danks, D. (Author), Plis, S. (Author)
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer Netherlands 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:View Fulltext in Publisher
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001 10.1007-s11229-017-1568-8
008 220511s2019 CNT 000 0 und d
020 |a 00397857 (ISSN) 
245 1 0 |a Amalgamating evidence of dynamics 
260 0 |b Springer Netherlands  |c 2019 
856 |z View Fulltext in Publisher  |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-017-1568-8 
520 3 |a Many approaches to evidence amalgamation focus on relatively static information or evidence: the data to be amalgamated involve different variables, contexts, or experiments, but not measurements over extended periods of time. However, much of scientific inquiry focuses on dynamical systems; the system’s behavior over time is critical. Moreover, novel problems of evidence amalgamation arise in these contexts. First, data can be collected at different measurement timescales, where potentially none of them correspond to the underlying system’s causal timescale. Second, missing variables have a significantly different impact on time series measurements than they do in the traditional static setting; in particular, they make causal and structural inference much more difficult. In this paper, we argue that amalgamation should proceed by integrating causal knowledge, rather than at the level of “raw” evidence. We defend this claim by first outlining both of these problems, and then showing that they can be solved only if we operate on causal structures. We therefore must use causal discovery methods that are reliable given these problems. Such methods do exist, but their successful application requires careful consideration of the problems that we highlight. © 2017, Springer Nature B.V. 
650 0 4 |a Causal discovery 
650 0 4 |a Causal inference 
650 0 4 |a Dynamical systems 
650 0 4 |a Latent variables 
650 0 4 |a Timescale 
700 1 |a Danks, D.  |e author 
700 1 |a Plis, S.  |e author 
773 |t Synthese