Growth in the shadow of debt

This paper revisits the relationship between debt and growth from a vantage point that considers the totality of private and public debt. We exploit quarter-long timing lags inherent in the response of borrowing to innovations in output to identify the effects of debt on growth in a panel vector aut...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Lim, J.J (Author)
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier B.V. 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:View Fulltext in Publisher
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001 10.1016-j.jbankfin.2019.04.002
008 220511s2019 CNT 000 0 und d
020 |a 03784266 (ISSN) 
245 1 0 |a Growth in the shadow of debt 
260 0 |b Elsevier B.V.  |c 2019 
856 |z View Fulltext in Publisher  |u https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2019.04.002 
520 3 |a This paper revisits the relationship between debt and growth from a vantage point that considers the totality of private and public debt. We exploit quarter-long timing lags inherent in the response of borrowing to innovations in output to identify the effects of debt on growth in a panel vector autoregressive model. We verify that debt accumulation is negatively related to output growth, with a one standard deviation innovation in the former leading to a 0.2 percentage-point contraction in the latter. This result is robust to the inclusion of exogenous variables in the system, alternative measures of the endogenous variables, and varying temporal treatments. We also find variations depending on the type of debt accumulated, the specific subset of countries considered, and the channels along which debt expansion operates. © 2019 
650 0 4 |a Economic growth 
650 0 4 |a Panel VAR 
650 0 4 |a Total debt 
700 1 |a Lim, J.J.  |e author 
773 |t Journal of Banking and Finance