Attenuating the forward guidance puzzle: Implications for optimal monetary policy
We examine the implications of less powerful forward guidance for optimal policy using a sticky-price model with an effective lower bound (ELB) on nominal interest rates as well as a discounted Euler equation and a discounted Phillips curve. When the private-sector agents discount future economic co...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Elsevier B.V.
2019
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | View Fulltext in Publisher |
| Summary: | We examine the implications of less powerful forward guidance for optimal policy using a sticky-price model with an effective lower bound (ELB) on nominal interest rates as well as a discounted Euler equation and a discounted Phillips curve. When the private-sector agents discount future economic conditions more in making their decisions today, a future rate cut becomes less effective in stimulating current economic activity. Under a wide range of plausible degrees of discounting, it is optimal for the central bank to compensate for the reduced effect of a future rate cut by keeping the policy rate at the ELB for longer. © 2019 |
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| ISBN: | 01651889 (ISSN) |
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.jedc.2019.05.013 |