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10.1017-jea.2019.25 |
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|a 15982408 (ISSN)
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|a The myth of polarization among Taiwanese voters: The missing middle
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|b Cambridge University Press
|c 2019
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|z View Fulltext in Publisher
|u https://doi.org/10.1017/jea.2019.25
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|a Are Taiwanese voters polarized? By presenting four novel visualizations based on a factor analysis of Taiwan National Security Surveys from 2002 to 2017, this article describes the contours of structural change in Taiwan politics. Overall, the cross-strait position among Taiwanese voters can be described by a stable inverted U shape over time. This arises from the fact that most nonpartisans-typically neglected in the literature on polarization-are moderate. Before 2008, increasing polarization among partisans can be attributed to pan-green voters moving toward independence. Between 2008 and 2014, decreasing polarization stems from moderates self-identifying as pan-blue supporters. Since 2014, a record-breaking number of nonpartisans have left the pan-blue camp, and more extreme pan-blue voters have contributed to a return of polarization among partisans. The results yield important implications for the study of polarization and populism, as well as for the future of Taiwanese politics. © Copyright East Asia Institute 2019.
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|a cross-strait relations
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|a party identification
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|a polarization
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|a Taiwanese politics
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|a visualization
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|a Wang, A.H.-E.
|e author
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|t Journal of East Asian Studies
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