Contagion, spillover, and interdependence

This paper reviews the empirical literature on international spillovers and contagion. Theoretical models of spillover and contagion imply that the reduced-form observable variables suffer from two possible sources of bias: endogeneity and omitted variables. These econometric problems, in combinatio...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Rigobón, R. (Author)
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Brookings Institution Press 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:View Fulltext in Publisher
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245 1 0 |a Contagion, spillover, and interdependence 
260 0 |b Brookings Institution Press  |c 2019 
856 |z View Fulltext in Publisher  |u https://doi.org/10.1353/eco.2019.0002 
520 3 |a This paper reviews the empirical literature on international spillovers and contagion. Theoretical models of spillover and contagion imply that the reduced-form observable variables suffer from two possible sources of bias: endogeneity and omitted variables. These econometric problems, in combination with the heteroskedasticity that plagues the data, produce time-varying biases. Several empirical methodologies are evaluated from this perspective: nonparametric techniques, such as correlations and principal components; and parametric methods, such as OLS, VAR, event studies, ARCH, and nonlinear regressions. The paper concludes that there is no single technique that can solve the full-fledged problem and discusses three methodologies that can partially address some of the questions in the literature. © 2019, Brookings Institution Press. All rights reserved. 
650 0 4 |a Contagion 
650 0 4 |a Heteroskedasticity 
650 0 4 |a Identification 
700 1 |a Rigobón, R.  |e author 
773 |t Economia