Use of Recurrent Neural Network with Long Short-Term Memory for Seepage Prediction at Tarbela Dam, KP, Pakistan

Estimating the quantity of seepage through the foundation and body of a dam using proper health and safety monitoring is critical to the effective management of disaster risk in a reservoir downstream of the dam. In this study, a deep learning model was constructed to predict the extent of seepage t...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Dai, Q. (Author), Ishfaque, M. (Author), Jadoon, K. (Author), Janjuhah, H.T (Author), Shahzad, S.M (Author), Ul Haq, N. (Author)
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:View Fulltext in Publisher
Description
Summary:Estimating the quantity of seepage through the foundation and body of a dam using proper health and safety monitoring is critical to the effective management of disaster risk in a reservoir downstream of the dam. In this study, a deep learning model was constructed to predict the extent of seepage through Pakistan’s Tarbela dam, the world’s second largest clay and rock dam. The dataset included hydro-climatological, geophysical, and engineering characteristics for peak-to-peak water inflows into the dam from 2014 to 2020. In addition, the data are time series, recurring neural networks (RNN), and long short-term memory (LSTM) as time series algorithms. The RNN–LSTM model has an average mean square error of 0.12, and a model performance of 0.9451, with minimal losses and high accuracy, resulting in the best-predicted dam seepage result. Damage was projected using a deep learning system that addressed the limitations of the model, the difficulties of calculating human activity schedules, and the need for a different set of input data to make good predictions. © 2022 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland.
ISBN:19961073 (ISSN)
DOI:10.3390/en15093123