Forecasting Multiple Groundwater Time Series with Local and Global Deep Learning Networks

Time series data from environmental monitoring stations are often analysed with machine learning methods on an individual basis, however recent advances in the machine learning field point to the advantages of incorporating multiple related time series from the same monitoring network within a ‘glob...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Clark, S.R (Author), Pagendam, D. (Author), Ryan, L. (Author)
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:View Fulltext in Publisher
LEADER 02377nam a2200229Ia 4500
001 10.3390-ijerph19095091
008 220510s2022 CNT 000 0 und d
020 |a 16617827 (ISSN) 
245 1 0 |a Forecasting Multiple Groundwater Time Series with Local and Global Deep Learning Networks 
260 0 |b MDPI  |c 2022 
856 |z View Fulltext in Publisher  |u https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19095091 
520 3 |a Time series data from environmental monitoring stations are often analysed with machine learning methods on an individual basis, however recent advances in the machine learning field point to the advantages of incorporating multiple related time series from the same monitoring network within a ‘global’ model. This approach provides the opportunity for larger training data sets, allows information to be shared across the network, leading to greater generalisability, and can overcome issues encountered in the individual time series, such as small datasets or missing data. We present a case study involving the analysis of 165 time series from groundwater monitoring wells in the Namoi region of Australia. Analyses of the multiple time series using a variety of different aggregations are compared and contrasted (with single time series, subsets, and all of the time series together), using variations of the multilayer perceptron (MLP), self-organizing map (SOM), long short-term memory (LSTM), and a recently developed LSTM extension (DeepAR) that incorporates autoregressive terms and handles multiple time series. The benefits, in terms of prediction performance, of these various approaches are investigated, and challenges such as differing measurement frequencies and variations in temporal patterns between the time series are discussed. We conclude with some discussion regarding, recommendations and opportunities associated with using networks of environmental data to help inform future resource-related decision making. © 2022 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. 
650 0 4 |a DeepAR 
650 0 4 |a groundwater 
650 0 4 |a long short-term memory (LSTM) 
650 0 4 |a recurrent neural networks 
650 0 4 |a self-organising map (SOM) 
650 0 4 |a time series 
700 1 |a Clark, S.R.  |e author 
700 1 |a Pagendam, D.  |e author 
700 1 |a Ryan, L.  |e author 
773 |t International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health