Article 2 Epidemics Models, Biological 2 Models, Statistical biological model 2 computer simulation 2 disease transmission 2 epidemic 2 human 2 mathematical model 2 statistical model 2 Asymptomatic Infections 1 COVID-19 1 Chemical master equation 1 Computer Simulation 1 Contact Tracing 1 Disease Progression 1 Dynamical evolution 1 Epidemiological modelling 1 Epidemiology 1 Humans 1 Italian population 1 Italy 1 Least-Squares Analysis 1 Least-square fitting 1 Long-term prediction 1 Medical intervention 1 Model identification 1 Numerical solution 1 Ordinary differential equation (ODE) 1