Lee-Carter model 3 Akaike information criterion 1 Bayesian information criterion 1 Coherent mortality forecasting models 1 DECLINE 1 Errors 1 Forecasting 1 Functional data model 1 Mean square error 1 Mortality forecasting accuracy 1 Mortality indices 1 Mortality rate 1 Population statistics 1 Reliable models 1 Root mean square errors 1 Sample error 1 life expectancy 1 mortality 1 population ageing 1