Amu Darya Basin Biodiversity CMIP Carbon storage Central Asia Climate change Commerce Economic and social effects Ecosystem service Ecosystem services Ecosystem services (ESs) Ecosystems Expansion Future land use simulation Future land use simulation (FLUS) Habitat quality Integrated valuation of ecosystem service and trade-offs Integrated valuation of ecosystem services and trade-offs (InVEST) Kyrgyzstan Land use Representative concentration pathway Representative concentration pathways (RCPs) Risk perception Shared socio-economic pathway Shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs) Soil carbon Soil conservation Soils Syr Darya Basin Tajikistan