Boosting intelligence analysts’ judgment accuracy: What works, what fails?
A routine part of intelligence analysis is judging the probability of alternative hypotheses given available evidence. Intelligence organizations advise analysts to use intelligence-tradecraft methods such as Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH) to improve judgment, but such methods have not been...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Society for Judgment and Decision Making
2018-11-01
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| Series: | Judgment and Decision Making |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://journal.sjdm.org/18/18803/jdm18803.pdf |