Forecasting the Volatility of Crude Oil: The Role of Uncertainty and Spillovers

We use a dataset for the group of G7 countries and China to study the out-of-sample predictive value of uncertainty and its international spillovers for the realized variance of crude oil (West Texas Intermediate and Brent) over the sample period from 1996Q1 to 2020Q4. Using the Lasso estimator, we...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Rangan Gupta, Christian Pierdzioch
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-07-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/14/4173