Ensemble prediction of floods – catchment non-linearity and forecast probabilities

Quantifying the uncertainty of flood forecasts by ensemble methods is becoming increasingly important for operational purposes. The aim of this paper is to examine how the ensemble distribution of precipitation forecasts propagates in the catchment system, and to interpret the flood forecast probabi...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: C. Reszler, G. Blöschl, T. Haiden, J. Komma
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2007-07-01
Series:Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Online Access:http://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/7/431/2007/nhess-7-431-2007.pdf