Using an adjusted Serfling regression model to improve the early warning at the arrival of peak timing of influenza in Beijing.

Serfling-type periodic regression models have been widely used to identify and analyse epidemic of influenza. In these approaches, the baseline is traditionally determined using cleaned historical non-epidemic data. However, we found that the previous exclusion of epidemic seasons was empirical, sin...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Xiaoli Wang, Shuangsheng Wu, C Raina MacIntyre, Hongbin Zhang, Weixian Shi, Xiaomin Peng, Wei Duan, Peng Yang, Yi Zhang, Quanyi Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2015-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC4354906?pdf=render