Forecasting turbulence in the Asian and European stock market using regime-switching models

An early warning system to timely forecast turbulences in the Asian and European stockmarket is proposed. To ensure comparability, the model is constructed analogously to the early warningsystem for the US stock market presented by Hauptmann et al. (2014). Based on the time series ofdiscrete monthly...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Janina Engel, Markus Wahl, Rudi Zagst
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIMS Press 2018-06-01
Series:Quantitative Finance and Economics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.aimspress.com/article/10.3934/QFE.2018.2.388/fulltext.html