A dynamic factor model for the Mexican economy: are common trends useful when predicting economic activity?

Abstract In this paper we propose to use the common trends of the Mexican economy in order to predict economic activity one and two steps ahead. We exploit the cointegration properties of the macroeconomic time series, such that, when the series are I(1) and cointegrated, there is a factor represent...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Francisco Corona, Graciela González-Farías, Pedro Orraca
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas 2017-09-01
Series:Latin American Economic Review
Subjects:
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40503-017-0044-7