COVID-19 outbreak and beyond: the information content of registered short-time workers for GDP now- and forecasting
Abstract The number of short-time workers from January to April 2020 is used to now- and forecast quarterly GDP growth. We purge the monthly log level series from the systematic component to extract unexpected changes or shocks to log short-time workers. These monthly shocks are included in a univar...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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SpringerOpen
2020-09-01
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| Series: | Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics |
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| Online Access: | http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s41937-020-00053-x |