Systematic biases in disease forecasting – The role of behavior change
In a simple susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model, the initial speed at which infected cases increase is indicative of the long-term trajectory of the outbreak. Yet during real-world outbreaks, individuals may modify their behavior and take preventative steps to reduce infection risk. As a cons...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Elsevier
2019-06-01
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| Series: | Epidemics |
| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1755436518301063 |