Comparing Sentiment- and Behavioral-Based Leading Indexes for Industrial Production: When Does Each Fail?

We apply a relatively novel leading−lagging (LL) method to four leading and one lagging indexes for industrial production (IP) in Germany. We obtain three sets of results. First, we show that the sentiment-based ifo index performs best in predicting the general changes in IP (−0....

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Knut Lehre Seip, Yunus Yilmaz, Michael Schröder
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2019-10-01
Series:Economies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/7/4/104