How well can an ensemble predict the uncertainty in the location of winter storm precipitation?
A pair of morphing-based ensemble forecast diagnostics is proposed for the verification of the location of precipitation events. The diagnostics are applied to operational global ensemble forecasts of winter storms in the United States in the winters of 2014/2015 and 2015/2016. A slowly developing s...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Taylor & Francis Group
2018-01-01
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| Series: | Tellus: Series A, Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/16000870.2018.1440870 |