Forecasting Inflation with the Phillips Curve: A Dynamic Model Averaging Approach for Brazil

This paper proposes a generalized Phillips curve in order to forecast Brazilian inflation over the 2003:M1–2013:M10 period. To this end, we employ the Dynamic Model Averaging (DMA) method, which allows for both model evolution and time-varying parameters. The procedure mainly consists in state-space...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Diego Ferreira, Andreza Aparecida Palma
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Fundação Getúlio Vargas 2015-12-01
Series:Revista Brasileira de Economia
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0034-71402015000400451&lng=en&tlng=en