Forecasting the Estonian rate of inflation using factor models

The paper presents forecasts of headline and core inflation in Estonia with factor models in a recursive pseudo out-of-sample framework. The factors are constructed with a principal component analysis and are then incorporated into vector autoregressive (VAR) forecasting models. The analyses show th...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Nicolas Reigl
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2017-07-01
Series:Baltic Journal of Economics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/1406099X.2017.1371976