Transmission dynamics of cholera in Yemen, 2017: a real time forecasting

Abstract Background A large epidemic of cholera, caused by Vibrio cholerae, serotype Ogawa, has been ongoing in Yemen, 2017. To improve the situation awareness, the present study aimed to forecast the cholera epidemic, explicitly addressing the reporting delay and ascertainment bias. Methods Using w...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Hiroshi Nishiura, Shinya Tsuzuki, Baoyin Yuan, Takayuki Yamaguchi, Yusuke Asai
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2017-07-01
Series:Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling
Subjects:
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12976-017-0061-x