Real time bayesian estimation of the epidemic potential of emerging infectious diseases.

BACKGROUND: Fast changes in human demographics worldwide, coupled with increased mobility, and modified land uses make the threat of emerging infectious diseases increasingly important. Currently there is worldwide alert for H5N1 avian influenza becoming as transmissible in humans as seasonal influe...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Luís M A Bettencourt, Ruy M Ribeiro
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2008-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC2366072?pdf=render