Quantifying uncertainty about future antimicrobial resistance: Comparing structured expert judgment and statistical forecasting methods.

The increase of multidrug resistance and resistance to last-line antibiotics is a major global public health threat. Although surveillance programs provide useful current and historical information on the scale of the problem, the future emergence and spread of antibiotic resistance is uncertain, an...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Abigail R Colson, Itamar Megiddo, Gerardo Alvarez-Uria, Sumanth Gandra, Tim Bedford, Alec Morton, Roger M Cooke, Ramanan Laxminarayan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2019-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0219190