Instruction in Information Structuring Improves Bayesian Judgment in Intelligence Analysts

An experiment was conducted to test the effectiveness of brief instruction in information structuring (i.e., representing and integrating information) for improving the coherence of probability judgments and binary choices among intelligence analysts. Forty-three analysts were presented with compara...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: David R. Mandel
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2015-04-01
Series:Frontiers in Psychology
Subjects:
Online Access:http://journal.frontiersin.org/Journal/10.3389/fpsyg.2015.00387/full