Is it growing exponentially fast? â Impact of assuming exponential growth for characterizing and forecasting epidemics with initial near-exponential growth dynamics

The increasing use of mathematical models for epidemic forecasting has highlighted the importance of designing models that capture the baseline transmission characteristics in order to generate reliable epidemic forecasts. Improved models for epidemic forecasting could be achieved by identifying sig...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Gerardo Chowell, Cécile Viboud
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. 2016-10-01
Series:Infectious Disease Modelling
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2468042716300100