Persistent Chaos of Measles Epidemics in the Prevaccination United States Caused by a Small Change in Seasonal Transmission Patterns.
Epidemics of infectious diseases often occur in predictable limit cycles. Theory suggests these cycles can be disrupted by high amplitude seasonal fluctuations in transmission rates, resulting in deterministic chaos. However, persistent deterministic chaos has never been observed, in part because su...
Main Authors: | , , , , , |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Public Library of Science (PLoS)
2016-02-01
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Series: | PLoS Computational Biology |
Online Access: | http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC4741526?pdf=render |