Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths [version 1; peer review: 2 approved]

Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths [version 1; peer review: 2 approved]

We estimate the number of COVID-19 cases from newly reported deaths in a population without previous reports. Our results suggest that by the time a single death occurs, hundreds to thousands of cases are likely to be present in that population. This suggests containment via contact tracing will be...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Thibaut Jombart, Kevin van Zandvoort, Timothy W. Russell, Christopher I. Jarvis, Amy Gimma, Sam Abbott, Sam Clifford, Sebastian Funk, Hamish Gibbs, Yang Liu, Carl A. B. Pearson, Nikos I. Bosse, Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COVID-19 Working Group, Rosalind M. Eggo, Adam J. Kucharski, W. John Edmunds
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wellcome 2020-04-01
Series:Wellcome Open Research
Online Access:https://wellcomeopenresearch.org/articles/5-78/v1

Internet

https://wellcomeopenresearch.org/articles/5-78/v1

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