Predictability limit of partially observed systems

Abstract Applications from finance to epidemiology and cyber-security require accurate forecasts of dynamic phenomena, which are often only partially observed. We demonstrate that a system’s predictability degrades as a function of temporal sampling, regardless of the adopted forecasting model. We q...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Andrés Abeliuk, Zhishen Huang, Emilio Ferrara, Kristina Lerman
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Publishing Group 2020-11-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-77091-1