Backtesting the Lee–Carter and the Cairns–Blake–Dowd Stochastic Mortality Models on Italian Death Rates

This work proposes a backtesting analysis that compares the Lee–Carter and the Cairns–Blake–Dowd mortality models, employing Italian data. The mortality data come from the Italian National Statistics Institute (ISTAT) database and span the period 1975–2014, over which we computed back-projections ev...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Carlo Maccheroni, Samuel Nocito
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2017-07-01
Series:Risks
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/5/3/34