‘Dark matter’, second waves and epidemiological modelling
Recent reports using conventional Susceptible, Exposed, Infected and Removed models suggest that the next wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in the UK could overwhelm health services, with fatalities exceeding the first wave. We used Bayesian model comparison to revisit these conclusions, allowing for he...
| Main Authors: | , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
BMJ Publishing Group
2020-12-01
|
| Series: | BMJ Global Health |
| Online Access: | https://gh.bmj.com/content/5/12/e003978.full |