Forecasting infectious disease emergence subject to seasonal forcing

Forecasting infectious disease emergence subject to seasonal forcing

Abstract Background Despite high vaccination coverage, many childhood infections pose a growing threat to human populations. Accurate disease forecasting would be of tremendous value to public health. Forecasting disease emergence using early warning signals (EWS) is possible in non-seasonal models...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Paige B. Miller, Eamon B. O’Dea, Pejman Rohani, John M. Drake
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2017-09-01
Series:Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling
Subjects:
Disease forecasting
Seasonality
Critical transition
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12976-017-0063-8

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http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12976-017-0063-8

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