Initial growth rates of malware epidemics fail to predict their reach
Abstract Empirical studies show that epidemiological models based on an epidemic’s initial spread rate often fail to predict the true scale of that epidemic. Most epidemics with a rapid early rise die out before affecting a significant fraction of the population, whereas the early pace of some pande...
Main Authors: | , , , , |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Nature Publishing Group
2021-06-01
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Series: | Scientific Reports |
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-91321-0 |