Forecasting Italian seismicity through a spatio-temporal physical model: importance of considering time-dependency and reliability of the forecast

We apply here a forecasting model to the Italian region for the spatio-temporal distribution of seismicity based on a smoothing Kernel function, Coulomb stress variations, and a rate-and-state friction law. We tested the feasibility of this approach, and analyzed the importance of introducing time-d...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Amir Hakimhashemi, Oliver Heidbach, Gottfried Grünthal, Dietrich Stromeyer, Mathilde B. Sørensen, Chung-Han Chan, Flaminia Catalli
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV) 2010-11-01
Series:Annals of Geophysics
Online Access:http://www.annalsofgeophysics.eu/index.php/annals/article/view/4761