The opportunity-threat theory of decision-making under risk

A new theory of decision-making under risk, the Opportunity-Threat Theory is proposed. Analysis of risk into opportunity and threat components allows description of behavior as a combination of opportunity seeking and threat aversion. Expected utility is a special case of this model. The final evalu...

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Main Author: Mohan Pandey
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Society for Judgment and Decision Making 2018-01-01
Series:Judgment and Decision Making
Subjects:
Online Access:http://journal.sjdm.org/17/17120/jdm17120.pdf
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spelling doaj-a7fd8afcc9564199ab6e424faf01b2f72021-05-02T16:45:27ZengSociety for Judgment and Decision MakingJudgment and Decision Making1930-29752018-01-011313341The opportunity-threat theory of decision-making under riskMohan PandeyA new theory of decision-making under risk, the Opportunity-Threat Theory is proposed. Analysis of risk into opportunity and threat components allows description of behavior as a combination of opportunity seeking and threat aversion. Expected utility is a special case of this model. The final evaluation is an integration of the impacts of opportunity and threat with this expectation. The model can account for basic results as well as several ``new paradoxes'' that refuted cumulative prospect theory in favor of configural weight models. The discussion notes similarities and differences of this model to the configural weight TAX model, which can also account for the new paradoxes.http://journal.sjdm.org/17/17120/jdm17120.pdfdecision risk opportunity threat expected utility prospect theory transfer of attention exchange behaviorNAKeywords
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Mohan Pandey
spellingShingle Mohan Pandey
The opportunity-threat theory of decision-making under risk
Judgment and Decision Making
decision
risk
opportunity
threat
expected utility
prospect theory
transfer of attention exchange
behaviorNAKeywords
author_facet Mohan Pandey
author_sort Mohan Pandey
title The opportunity-threat theory of decision-making under risk
title_short The opportunity-threat theory of decision-making under risk
title_full The opportunity-threat theory of decision-making under risk
title_fullStr The opportunity-threat theory of decision-making under risk
title_full_unstemmed The opportunity-threat theory of decision-making under risk
title_sort the opportunity-threat theory of decision-making under risk
publisher Society for Judgment and Decision Making
series Judgment and Decision Making
issn 1930-2975
publishDate 2018-01-01
description A new theory of decision-making under risk, the Opportunity-Threat Theory is proposed. Analysis of risk into opportunity and threat components allows description of behavior as a combination of opportunity seeking and threat aversion. Expected utility is a special case of this model. The final evaluation is an integration of the impacts of opportunity and threat with this expectation. The model can account for basic results as well as several ``new paradoxes'' that refuted cumulative prospect theory in favor of configural weight models. The discussion notes similarities and differences of this model to the configural weight TAX model, which can also account for the new paradoxes.
topic decision
risk
opportunity
threat
expected utility
prospect theory
transfer of attention exchange
behaviorNAKeywords
url http://journal.sjdm.org/17/17120/jdm17120.pdf
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