Real-time seroprevalence and exposure levels of emerging pathogens in infection-naive host populations

Abstract For endemic pathogens, seroprevalence mimics overall exposure and is minimally influenced by the time that recent infections take to seroconvert. Simulating spatially-explicit and stochastic outbreaks, we set out to explore how, for emerging pathogens, the mix of exponential growth in infec...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Francesco Pinotti, Uri Obolski, Paul Wikramaratna, Marta Giovanetti, Robert Paton, Paul Klenerman, Craig Thompson, Sunetra Gupta, José Lourenço
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Publishing Group 2021-03-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-84672-1