Short-term Forecasting of the Prevalence of Trachoma: Expert Opinion, Statistical Regression, versus Transmission Models.

Short-term Forecasting of the Prevalence of Trachoma: Expert Opinion, Statistical Regression, versus Transmission Models.

BACKGROUND:Trachoma programs rely on guidelines made in large part using expert opinion of what will happen with and without intervention. Large community-randomized trials offer an opportunity to actually compare forecasting methods in a masked fashion. METHODS:The Program for the Rapid Elimination...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Fengchen Liu, Travis C Porco, Abdou Amza, Boubacar Kadri, Baido Nassirou, Sheila K West, Robin L Bailey, Jeremy D Keenan, Anthony W Solomon, Paul M Emerson, Manoj Gambhir, Thomas M Lietman
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2015-08-01
Series:PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases
Online Access:http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC4547743?pdf=render

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http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC4547743?pdf=render

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