Evaluation of forecasts by accuracy and spread in the MiKlip decadal climate prediction system

We present the evaluation of temperature and precipitation forecasts obtained with the MiKlip decadal climate prediction system. These decadal hindcast experiments are verified with respect to the accuracy of the ensemble mean and the ensemble spread as a representative for the forecast uncertainty....

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Christopher Kadow, Sebastian Illing, Oliver Kunst, Henning W. Rust, Holger Pohlmann, Wolfgang A. Müller, Ulrich Cubasch
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Borntraeger 2016-12-01
Series:Meteorologische Zeitschrift
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1127/metz/2015/0639