A Bayesian framework for emergent constraints: case studies of climate sensitivity with PMIP

<p>In this paper we introduce a Bayesian framework, which is explicit about prior assumptions, for using model ensembles and observations together to constrain future climate change. The emergent constraint approach has seen broad application in recent years, including studies constraining the...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: M. Renoult, J. D. Annan, J. C. Hargreaves, N. Sagoo, C. Flynn, M.-L. Kapsch, Q. Li, G. Lohmann, U. Mikolajewicz, R. Ohgaito, X. Shi, Q. Zhang, T. Mauritsen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2020-09-01
Series:Climate of the Past
Online Access:https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/16/1715/2020/cp-16-1715-2020.pdf