Statistical Estimation and Classification Algorithms for Regime-Switching VAR Model with Exogenous Variables

We consider a vector autoregression model with exogenous variables and Markov-switching regimes to describe complex systems with cyclic changes of states. To estimate and forecast the states, we propose EM and discriminant analysis algorithms based on non-classified and classified data samples accor...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Vladimir Malugin, Alexander Novopoltsev
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Austrian Statistical Society 2017-04-01
Series:Austrian Journal of Statistics
Online Access:http://www.ajs.or.at/index.php/ajs/article/view/670