Forecasting methods and models of disease spread

Forecasting methods and models of disease spread

The number of papers addressing the forecasting of the infectious disease morbidity is rapidly growing due to accumulation of available statistical data. This article surveys the major approaches for the shortterm and the long-term morbidity forecasting. Their limitations and the practical applicati...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Mikhail Alexandrovich Kondratyev
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Institute of Computer Science 2013-10-01
Series:Компьютерные исследования и моделирование
Subjects:
morbidity forecasting
point-to-point estimates
regression models
ARIMA
hidden Markov models
method of analogues
exponential smoothing
SIR
Rvachev–Baroyan model
cellular automata
populationbased models
agent-based models
Online Access:http://crm.ics.org.ru/uploads/crmissues/crm_2013_5/13509.pdf

Internet

http://crm.ics.org.ru/uploads/crmissues/crm_2013_5/13509.pdf

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