Stochastic ensemble climate forecast with an analogue model

<p>This paper presents a system to perform large-ensemble climate stochastic forecasts. The system is based on random analogue sampling of sea-level pressure data from the NCEP reanalysis. It is tested to forecast a North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index and the daily average temperature in fi...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: P. Yiou, C. Déandréis
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2019-02-01
Series:Geoscientific Model Development
Online Access:https://www.geosci-model-dev.net/12/723/2019/gmd-12-723-2019.pdf