USING A DYNAMIC ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK FOR FORECASTING THE VOLATILITY OF A FINANCIAL TIME SERIES

The ability to obtain accurate volatility forecasts is an important issue for the financial analyst. In this paper, we use the DAN2 model, a multilayer perceptron and an ARCH model to predict the monthly conditional variance of stock prices. The results show that DAN2 model is more accurate for pred...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Juan D. Velásquez, Sarah Gutiérrez, Carlos J. Franco
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universidad de Medellín 2013-06-01
Series:Revista Ingenierías Universidad de Medellín
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.scielo.org.co/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1692-33242013000100012&lng=en&tlng=en