Propensities and Second Order Uncertainty: A Modified Taxi Cab Problem

The study of people’s ability to engage in causal probabilistic reasoning has typically used fixed-point estimates for key figures. For example, in the classic taxi-cab problem, where a witness provides evidence on which of two cab companies (the more common ‘green’/less common ‘blue’) were responsi...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Stephen H. Dewitt, Norman E. Fenton, Alice Liefgreen, David A. Lagnado
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2020-10-01
Series:Frontiers in Psychology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpsyg.2020.503233/full