Time-varying equity premium forecasts based on industry indexes

Various studies report that the ability of industry indexes to predict the broad market disappeared during the most recent years. I revisit this theme using more flexible switching models and imposing economically motivated constraints on the predictions. My results show that traditional constant c...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Nuno Silva
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Tuwhera Open Access Publisher 2020-12-01
Series:Applied Finance Letters
Online Access:https://ojs.aut.ac.nz/applied-finance-letters/article/view/298